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« Old Habits Back in Vogue | Main | My New Blog: When Giants Fall »

November 25, 2008

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Michael,
The data on troubled banks is interesting but still difficult to put in perspective. I recently saw a chart that showed the number of failed banks during the period from 1982 to 1994 or so. The rate of failures ramped up to a peak of about 532 in 1989 I think and then tailed off. 2008 YTD failures were quoted as 22, so a much lower rate than we survived last time. But the cost of the few failures this year was stated as somewhat greater than that of the 532 peak year (WaMu apparently the biggest by far). So, while the number of failures, and even 'troubled' banks isn't enormous vis a vis history, one has to wonder if 2008 isn't similar to 1982, i.e., the very first step into a far bigger problem.

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