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December 17, 2008

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If the US goes down , so does the rest of the world, at least for the foreseeable future.

There is no fundamental reason why the world economy should continue to grow. It depends on policies that are implemented by those in leadership positions.

We've had hundreds of complex societies collapse in recorded history, including one in 1990 or so.

This is really stupid. Do you crave the end of society?

OK you called the crash - so did I. Get over it, now offer some help as to help we get out of it instead of wallowing in this kind of dreck.

This is tabloid quality,not intellectually part of the solution.

RE: "not intellectually part of the solution"

since those who browse the web usually have $$$$ and time to waste, it's hard to understand those without such luxury.

This is good to read. It reminds people like myself that I should share with people in need (or who will be in need).

To Roger, you know a great way to increase your influence in the world is by gaining the loyalty of people you help..

Thanks for posting this. For many years, I had been aware that Argentina had been through a difficult economic crisis.

The WaPo article is one of the more concrete, descriptive pieces I have read on it.

I read a few "doomer" sites, and the blog authors often receive comments about how the author is always discussing doomsday and never offering solutions.

It's a pathetic, adolescent line of thought.

I don't think anyone alive has answers to what we are going through and what we may be about to go through. The best we can do is observe the present and learn from the past.

The sooner people begin to exercise their imaginations and powers of discernment, the sooner we can all come up with answers either collectively or individually.

Thank you for all the work you do.

Rusty

Dear blogger,

This is a good article for you to blog. This is about recent Fed cut the key interest rate to 0.25%
http://www.ibtimes.com/articles/20081217/fed-cuts-key-interest-rate-to-near-zero.htm

LEARNED HELPLESSNESS IS LETHAL.
so, if ya cant get one of those job thingys from the rich ppl ya starve.
Wow , does anybody ever consider maybe growing your own stuff , i.e food, cotton , hemp , building materials etc .

Rural poverty boggles my mind , couldnt happen without tyranny I think , and like jefferson said ' sometimes liberty requires the blood of tyrants ' or somethin like that .

Re: "since those who browse the web usually have $$$$ and time to waste, it's hard to understand those without such luxury."

Fully agree :-)

One of the fall outs of the Argentinian economic collapse earlier this decade was the large scale Jewish emigration from the country. You'll know things are really bad in the US when formerly rich American Jews start moving to Israel in large numbers.

Gosh Scott - you're feeling smug and superior to starving people. In the Christmas season. That's a whole new pit of ugly you've discovered there.

Rocky - Why the hell would we go to Israel? France, baby.

I just finished reading the future of the US. There is now no way to avoid this as the utter Wall Street corruption is complete. History dictates that a fiat currency always fails. Watch it happen to the USD in 2009.

Thanks for the comment barney. Guess I did not make myself
clear,,,live & learn... my intent was to point out that the
article created fear and did not offer any solution.
for me there can be no peace in the world unless there
is ECONOMIC JUSTICE, IE: a fair & equitable distribution
of the wealth, at my age I have seen to many wars & killing
due tremendous exploitation and social injustice.

RE: Gosh Scott - you're feeling smug and superior to starving people. In the Christmas season. That's a whole new pit of ugly you've discovered there. Posted by: Gavel Down

I dont think its smug to inform ppl suffering from deficiencies that there are options other than waiting for their masters to help them.
whats really ugly is for someone like yourself to continue to encourage that they continue to think in ways that will continue their deficiencies , duh.

In point of fact, you're saying that you could do "starving, poor, and homeless" better than they can, and without knowing anything about where they live or what their situation is, that they can and should grow their own food and magically turn into self-sustaining farmers, as if it's easy.

I really, really hope you get a chance to try it for yourself one of these days, son.

Also, it's bad enough that Americans don't bother to learn more than one language, but for god's sake at least bother to learn ONE to a reasonable degree of competence.

Gavel Down:
Hear, hear. People who haven't been there, as I assume Scott hasn't, shouldn't judge. It's sickening.

Maybe they can't find land, did you think of that, dishrag? Republicans think good ole' self-sufficiency will cure any ill. Those Jews in concentration camps - all they needed was to grow their own food - lazy bums.

This was a great article. So now we have a new litmus test to describe the US descent.

1. Stage 1. People default on debts
2. Stage 2. People lose their homes
3. Stage 3. People rob and steal.

4. Stage 4. People butcher cattle live in the middle of the streets.

5. Stage 5. (not to be outdone). People butcher people in the streets. Cannibalism.

6. Stage 6. ????????!

well, i certainly dont feel very superior to hungry or starving ppl . I do feel superior to you .
In fact, the reason that I dont, and the reason that most of the worlds population shouldnt either is exactly because the difference between being a reasonably well-fed wage-slave and being a hungry person is just usually the difference in what the investor class has wished upon you , and of course for the hungry folks who have been worn down physically to the point of pysical weakness, they certainly arent likely to pull themselves up by the bootstraps, and they certainly wont help get much help from persons like we see here who are apologists for the
system that made the ppl into paupers .

But maybe those of us who are not yet so wearied by the environment created by the investment class should see the starving ppl as a warning of things to come for ourselves if we dont change that environment and take control of it .

RE;Maybe they can't find land, did you think of that, dishrag?

Better take some then huh? Though I'm sure such pussified apologists as we see here would object to that too, we cant be getting our hands dirty , now can we ?

Roger and Steamed:

I have an idea:

1. You continue to cheerlead.
2. I'll prepare.

Much of what he says is common sense to country folk like me. Nobody wishes for this, but if you'd bothered to read the article you would have your solutions. It could not be more clear. I think the real problem is that your sensibilities were offended by the prospect of anarchy. Certainly the prospect of anarchy is there. It is not without precedent.

So from my perspective, the bottom line is whether to put your family at risk to make a point. I know plenty of people who have no problem with that if it shows them to be progressive, tolerant, whatever is in vogue at the moment. Personally, I'm all about protecting my loved ones.

I hope I never have to.

If I do, I'll be ready.

I was in Buenos Aires in 2001 on a business trip. Prior to landing, I had no clue what was going on economically in Argentina.

The city looked every bit as civilized and built up as Paris-- but there wasn't nearly as much traffic on the roads.

On a tour bus trip of the city, the guide said unemployment had reached 70%. When there was a brief stop, I asked her-- because of her accent-- whether she'd said 17%. No, 70% she replied very dryly and without expression.

When the bus passed a park full of people selling things, I asked the driver to stop and immediately got off. I went and spent every cent I had in my pockets-- most of my money went to an extremely old woman who had horrible felt-like slippers she'd made. The park was full of all ages and types selling everything imaginable. There were few shoppers.

Later in the trip, in another part of the country, my curiosity got the better of me and I asked about all the "ruins in progress"-- skeletons of commercial buildings and houses that had obviously ceased construction years and years ago. They were everywhere. The driver said that in a single day, the government had done something to the currency that completely changed its value-- on that day all construction everywhere stopped. Everything instantly became worthless. I'm not economically trained, so it made no sense to me.

When it came time to fly back to Buenos Aires a week later-- again, with no air of surprise and not much explanation-- we found our airline had ceased to exist. No one made a big deal of it. Apparently, there were only two airlines left in Argentina and the government owned both of them (vague recollection). Without much fanfare, one of the remaining airlines took our tickets and put us on a plane. It felt like "business as usual."

I appreciate articles like this one, because SEEING the instant devastation of a "civilized" country demonstrates how possible it is for others. I think most Americans picture "third world" and believe it can't happen here.

The right combination of bad decisions can make it happen ANYWHERE.

Jesus Christ.

If I read one more whiny crybaby "Offer us solutions!!!" post, I'll scream. OK, I'm screaming NOW.

WTF is wrong with you lot?

You've been given the very rare privilege here of seeing the breakdown of an advanced society into absolute horror. Some of you are thinking, unsaid, "Oh, it's just those effing spicks, that's how they are!" The other lot are thinking, "Hey, my gun will be my passport!"

Both of you are unfit for survival with what's coming up.

Your "solution" -- such as it will be -- is YOU. What the hell do you think made this country, a pack of crybabies telling the proto-revolutionaries, "Oh, give us a solution EXCEPT overthrowing Old George"?!

Your money is shit.
Your gold is shit.
Your gun is shit.

Start there and YOU can begin to CREATE some solutions.

FA, thanks much for this post. I'm linking to it.

Obviously it does not have to be this way in the US, but it can become so if the government continues to morph its program from stabilizing the financial system to trying to repeal the business cycle.

The more committed the Feds are to renewed growth at any cost, and to reflating house prices by promoting the same policies that caused the whole mess in the first place, the more likely the dollar will collapse. If the dollar goes, don't cry for me Argentina.

I am an American who is married to someone from AR and was living there in 2002. I have been returning every year since. I have been to other Latin American countries like Costa Rica, Colombia, Mexico, and El Salvador. And have many friends from other LAT AM countries. To me I am amazed at Argentines resolve crisis or no crisis. They continue forward doing their own thing. And you know what I really didn't see a country falling apart, people gone mad. People said to me we are used to this, this is how it always is. A shame yes, but they say now, that things are getting better little by little.

I lived in NYC all my life say what you want, but New Yorkers are the same. I lived through the 70's and 80's and there is no going back to that. People in NY have changed and are not "animals" anymore.

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