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« A New Post at My New Blog | Main | Into the Economic Abyss »

December 16, 2008

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A couple of weeks ago, I made a speech on an issue very much on point to your comments at the conference on "The New Washington" at the National Press in DC. You can find my prepared remarks at www.deathoftime.com -- and by noon on Wednesday, Dec 17, I am also posting links to videos not only of my comments but of others who spoke, including David Rubenstein of Carlyle and some other notable people from the investment and the "Washington" communities. At any rate, I argued that we are beginning to see a cultural transformation arise from two factors: 1) the economy has crashed consumer advertising -- it was going south fairly significantly before October, and now it is virtually killed, but 2) the political environment, characterized by a massive momentum for change, is forcing special interest groups of all ilks, sizes and motivations to raise the volume of their messages -- they need to argue for what should be defended and what should be newly adopted that would advance their interests. That is causing a surge in what I call "supporterism" messages. This will not be good for the large NY-based ad agencies and other communications firms that specialize in consumer messages. But it will mean increased business for the DC-based public affairs-oriented communications shops (as well as lobbyists, lawyers, associations and other in the influence business). It will also mean the onset of a new culture marked by a change FROM "buy this" messages, which have innundated the American citizen since the post WW II expansion (creating the phenonmena to which you refer above) TO a sizeable increase in the number of "support this" messages and a consequential change in the nation's culture. You can already see the beginning of this in the messages that hit you daily over all distribution channels. Keep a watch for it ... there is a cultural shift of great significance about to happenb .....

"..when he craved an expensive new tie...": it takes all sorts.

For years I have said Americans no longer believe in the "redeeming work of Jesus on the cross", but "buying stuff at the mall". It's "redemption through consumption". Bush told us on 9/12, "go shopping". Bush claims to be a Methodist.

I worry and fear for our futures when I imagine how bad it likely to get when the store closings and layoffs start in earnest Q109.

Interesting article thanks for posting. Growing up shopping in today's culture is part of life i guess we can expect shopping withdrawl to be a fundamental issue in the coming years. The side bar is the entire advertising/entertainment industry that is tied into TV and all media. The cost to produce most of our media is based on advertising costs and as the effective level decreases due to lack of demand (demand means ability to pay)this could significantly impact TV viewing itself as the viewing available choices cutback, this could also have a impact on professional and bigtime college programs as advertising expenses are lowered.

Shopping is fun, but there is a price to be paid.

Suffering from the loss of illusions, illusions being a
security blanket, a make believe world where nobody in
the sales catalog is over 25,a world where by sheer magic
and the power of the will all can become very wealthy and
retire at 40 GONE for ever that's traumatic!

Review the comments. They all refer to cultural consequences. I think this blog was an early site to discuss prospective cataclismic change in economic terms. Now, all the media is covering the story. What is needed now is the early identification of cultural changes. There are going to be many and they are going to emerge in many forms. They will range from great to awful, and from beneficial to dangerous. DougPoretz www.deathoftime.com

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