Stock Prices vs. Durable Goods Orders: Disconnected

Over the past two decades, whenever the year-on-year trend of durable goods new orders has been falling and subsequently drops below -5%, stock prices have generally followed suit — except recently.

Durablegoodsstockprices

One reason why things are different this time, of course, is the Fed’s program of quantitative easing, which is helping to keep stock prices propped up despite a deteriorating fundamental outlook.

Looked at another way, the current Wall Street-Main Street disconnect could be seen as further proof that, for all the Fed’s claims to the contrary, its policies are doing little or nothing for the real economy.

The insanity continues.