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« A Sign of Things to Come | Main | Not Just for Geeks »

March 10, 2009

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How you know Rome is burning is if 10Y moves above 4.50% in this type of recessionary/depressionary environment and the dollar starts to decline against the global basket. Till then the credit rating of the nation is intact. The yield of 2.98% on the ten year speaks for itself.
http://thegreatloanblog.blogspot.com

I was pleased to see that the Netherlands kept their 5th place. Apparently, it was a good thing we lost the 1830 war (in which we lost Belgium).

The food is better in Belgium too.

And so it turns out the great wealth engine of America is not its superior brand of capitalism. It's it national addiction to borrow other people's money, including borrowing from its own endless Federal Reserve printing machine. Suddenly the free money cannot be made so freely anymore - the credit crisis. The perpetual dollar machine has some friction. And the whole economy grinds to a halt. And even now, the country does not know that the dollar machine is broken and tries to restart it, so that the fake good life can return. I know, it is sad that a country of so many people can be so dumb.

So when will US government bonds be downgraded to AA or lower? If the country runs high deficits in good times and even higher deficits in bad ones, it is not a good sign.

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